The odds/Largest company

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

AppleAAPL
19%▲ 11 pts in 7 daysResolves December 31, 2026

Chance over time

72848Dec 31Mar 13May 23Aug 2Oct 13

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.