The odds/Stocks

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

AppleAAPL
99%▼ 1 pts in 7 daysResolves December 31, 2026

Chance over time

527598Dec 31Mar 13May 23Aug 2Oct 13

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.